Alibaba Group Holding LtdFree cash flow swung to an outflow of RMB46.6 billion, operating cash flow declined 53%, and EPS estimates were revised downward.

Alibaba's free cash flow swung to an outflow of RMB46.6 billion in fiscal 2026 from an inflow of RMB73.9 billion a year earlier, as heavy investments in AI infrastructure, cloud capacity, quick commerce and the Qwen AI ecosystem outpaced cash generation. Operating cash flow declined 53% year over year, and management indicated that AI demand will require an even larger data center footprint over the next five years, implying sustained capital commitments that could keep free cash flow under pressure. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with RMB520.8 billion of cash and other liquid investments, but continued negative free cash flow may reduce financial flexibility if investment returns take longer to materialize. Cloud Intelligence revenues continue to accelerate on robust AI adoption, suggesting these investments could generate meaningful long-term returns, though investors should monitor whether improving cloud monetization and operating efficiencies can offset persistent cash outflows. Alibaba shares have declined 21.4% year to date, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2027 and 2028 EPS has been revised downward over the past 30 and 60 days, with the company missing earnings expectations in each of the trailing four quarters by an average negative surprise of 37.65%.
Alibaba Group Holding LtdFree cash flow swung to an outflow of RMB46.6 billion, operating cash flow declined 53%, and EPS estimates were revised downward.
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