Alphabet Inc Class CQ2 earnings report with focus on capex; high spending may pressure free cash flow but cloud backlog supports bull case.

Alphabet reports second-quarter 2026 results after the bell on Wednesday, with Wall Street focused less on profit and more on the pace of capital spending. Consensus estimates put earnings per share at roughly $2.87 to $2.90 on revenue of approximately $116.8 to $116.93 billion, implying year-over-year growth of about 21.3%, while Google Cloud revenue is expected to grow 64 to 65% year-over-year. The key number is capital expenditure, after Alphabet raised its full-year 2026 capex guidance to $180 to $190 billion in April and first-quarter capex spiked 107% to $35.7 billion, causing free cash flow to fall 46.3% to $10.1 billion. Raymond James analysts warned Alphabet could guide for more than $300 billion in capital expenditures in 2027, well above the current Wall Street estimate of $261 billion. The structural bull case rests on a $462 billion Cloud order backlog that nearly doubled quarter-over-quarter in Q1, but execution risks have mounted, including a reported delay of the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch and the departure of key AI talent. Alphabet shares have declined roughly 9% since late April, and the results will set expectations for Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, which report the week of July 28.
Alphabet Inc Class CQ2 earnings report with focus on capex; high spending may pressure free cash flow but cloud backlog supports bull case.
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