B. Riley keeps $66 Applied Digital target after fiscal Q4 EBITDA beat

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โดย B. Riley Securities·Read original
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B. Riley Securities reiterated its Buy rating and $66 price target for Applied Digital after the AI infrastructure developer reported fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $42.4 million, exceeding the firm's $24.6 million estimate and the $25.6 million consensus forecast. Revenue for the quarter ended May 31 reached $258.7 million, including $152.4 million from tenant fit-out services that helped drive the EBITDA beat, while HPC base rent of $44.1 million matched B. Riley's estimate. The bank highlighted an improving construction record, noting that Applied Digital delivered the first phase of Building 2 at Polaris Forge 1 on June 30, adding 75 MW on schedule and increasing live capacity at the campus to 175 MW, with the building completed in 12 months versus 24 months for the first building. B. Riley expects higher lease rates on 250 MW of uncontracted and expansion capacity currently under negotiation across Polaris Forge 2, Delta Forge 1, and Delta Forge 2, and pointed to about 1.4 GW of contracted IT load across five campuses supporting approximately $36 billion of base-term revenue, with more than 70% backed by U.S.-based investment-grade hyperscalers. Financing costs have already declined, as Applied Digital priced $2.15 billion of senior secured notes funding 200 MW at Polaris Forge 2 with a 6.750% coupon, below the 9.250% coupon on legacy notes due 2030, and the bank sees potential for further improvement. B. Riley also noted that Applied Digital owns about 10% of Base Electron, which is developing approximately 1.2 GW of natural-gas generation in the Dakotas, potentially enabling campus expansion beyond contracted capacity. Risks include power availability, supply-chain constraints, construction delays, cost overruns, weaker-than-forecast AI adoption, and lease pricing or renewal pressure.

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Base ElectronPrivate▲ Positive
Capitalrelevance

Applied Digital owns 10% of Base Electron, which is developing 1.2 GW of natural-gas generation, potentially enabling campus expansion.

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