Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd.B. Riley expects TSMC to guide strong CY26 sales growth driven by accelerated AI infrastructure spending.
B. Riley views this week's second-quarter earnings reports from ASML and TSMC as tone-setting for the entire semiconductor and semiconductor capital equipment sector, noting that an $880 billion surge in AI infrastructure spending has arrived roughly 12 months ahead of prior forecasts. The firm's CY26 total AI capex estimate rises to approximately $880 billion, with CY27 potentially crossing $1.02 trillion, driven by accelerated hyper-scale spending and commitments from Oracle, CoreWeave, and NBIS. B. Riley suspects TSMC could guide CY26 headline sales growth to +35% year-over-year if it reclassifies CPUs into its high-performance computing AI accelerator taxonomy, while CY26 industry wafer fab equipment spending is seen solidly above $140 billion and CY27 could approach $170 billion-plus. The firm identifies Ichor Holdings, FormFactor, Onto Innovation, and Silicon Motion as attractive names heading into the earnings cycle.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd.B. Riley expects TSMC to guide strong CY26 sales growth driven by accelerated AI infrastructure spending.
ASML Holding N.V.ASML's wafer fab equipment spending is seen solidly above $140B in CY26, driven by AI capex surge.
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