Alamos Gold IncBank of America note says gold equities are cheap relative to gold price, implying upside.
Bank of America published a note on June 22 arguing that the selloff in gold equities has opened an opportunity, as mining stocks are pricing in gold well below where it actually trades. Using a price-to-net asset value approach, the bank found that companies in its coverage universe are pricing gold at an average of $3,354 per ounce, a 19% discount to spot, while on an EV/EBITDA basis the implied average came in at $4,016 per ounce, a 3% discount. The bank acknowledged near-term headwinds from the Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.50% to 3.75% and signaling possible future hikes under Chairman Kevin Warsh, but pointed to persistent U.S. budget deficits, de-dollarization trends, and central bank buying as structural supports. A World Gold Council survey published June 16 found that 89% of 76 central bank respondents expect global official gold reserves to increase over the next 12 months, with a record 45% planning to add to their own holdings. Bank of America maintained its 12-month gold price target of $6,000 per ounce and raised its full-year 2026 average gold price forecast to $5,093 per ounce, implying roughly 46% upside from around $4,110 at the time of writing.
Alamos Gold IncBank of America note says gold equities are cheap relative to gold price, implying upside.
Franco-Nevada CorporationAs a gold streaming/royalty company, it benefits from the bullish gold outlook and cheap valuation argument.
Wheaton Precious Metals CorpAs a gold streaming/royalty company, it benefits from the bullish gold outlook and cheap valuation argument.
Bank of America Corp