Bernstein survey shows IBM spending intentions remain deeply negative

Oracle Corporation reported on September 10 that its revenue rose 30% in the fiscal first quarter, driven by a 121% jump in cloud infrastructure revenue, the business that rents computing power to AI companies. The company said its remaining performance obligations, the value of contracts signed but not yet delivered, reached $664 billion, more than seven times the revenue it expects this year, and on the back of that backlog Oracle raised its full-year revenue outlook to at least $90 billion. Roughly half of the backlog should turn into revenue within three years, more than three times what the company expects to collect in the whole of this year, and Oracle signed more than $30 billion of new AI cloud deals in the quarter, most structured as prepayments or customers bringing their own hardware. Delivering that backlog is costly: Oracle spent $28.5 billion on data centers and equipment in a single quarter, more than the cash its business generated, free cash flow stayed negative, gross margin fell more than five points to 61%, and a day after the results the company expanded its job-cut plan. Concentration risk looms as well, since a $300 billion contract with OpenAI signed last year begins in 2027 and is close to half of the current backlog, while OpenAI is still losing money. Management has pointed to an investor day in October for a fuller plan on margins and cash flow ahead of the next quarterly report in December.

Micron Technology announced on September 15 the successful demonstration of a 512GB DDR5 RDIMM memory module for servers, which the company says is the first of its kind in the world. The module reaches speeds of up to 9,200 MT/s and can enable as much as 12TB of DDR5 DRAM in a 24-slot dual-socket server. Micron said the 512GB module consumes 16 watts, more than 60% less power than the 44.2 watts consumed by four 128GB modules providing the same capacity, and delivers up to 1.4 times higher performance than 256GB DDR5 configurations in certain analytics workloads. AMD and Intel are validating the technology for next-generation server platforms, though volume production is not expected until the back half of 2027, limiting its near-term impact on Micron's earnings. Separately, Micron said in June that its 16 strategic customer agreements were expected to provide $22 billion in cash deposits and related financial commitments, alongside $100 billion in remaining performance obligations from agreements already signed.

Warren Buffett and newly appointed Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel have plowed tens of billions of dollars into Alphabet, making it one of Berkshire's biggest investments, after Buffett finally bought the stock in the third quarter of 2025 with shares trading around $200. Buffett had long said he missed the opportunity, noting at the 2017 shareholder meeting that he would not bet against Google, and he has acknowledged missing out on a 9,000% gain by not buying sooner. Google initially offered shares to the public at $85 each in 2004, and after a 2014 split into two share classes and a 20-for-1 split in 2022, the split-adjusted price is just $2.125 per share. Buffett said he likes the stock now because Alphabet plans to spend around $200 billion in capital expenditures this year on new data centers and AI servers, a use of capital he sees earning a high cash return. Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian said the average payback period on its new servers is less than two years, and roughly half that for Google's custom TPUs, while average five-year customer contracts and a two-year lead time on data center construction mean even a worst-case scenario produces a positive return. With the stock trading for less than 17 times forward earnings expectations, Buffett and Abel could keep buying in the third quarter.