Broker: KCE eyes Tesla Optimus and AI/datacom work, target price 85 baht

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The analyst at Bualuang Securities Public Company Limited maintains a "speculative buy" recommendation on KCE and has raised its target price to 70 baht from 60 baht, viewing the recovery in the automotive business and the price adjustments as largely priced in by the market. The next round of upside will depend on two factors that are not yet fully confirmed: the chance to enter the Tesla Optimus supply chain, and expansion into circuit board work for AI and data communications, or AI/datacom. On Optimus, KCE has only confirmed that there may be a transaction with a US company but has not disclosed the name. It estimates that one robot uses about 40 to 50 PCB panels, or roughly 4 square feet, worth about 90 dollars per unit. If Fremont has production capacity as designed at 1 million units per year and KCE wins a 10% share, that would generate revenue of about 2% of sales and add about 5% to core profit. The bigger upside is AI/datacom work. KCE has installed capacity of 3.6 million square feet per month and currently uses only about 65%, leaving roughly 1.26 million square feet per month of free capacity, plus an additional 1 million square feet per month of space at the Rojana plant. If KCE shifts 50% of its free capacity in 2027 to these high-value jobs, the estimated upside is about 10% to 15% for revenue and 15% to 20% for core profit. In the case where KCE actually enters AI/datacom work, the bull-case value is 85 baht.

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