Cerebras Q2 Earnings Preview: Kalshi Traders Bet on AMD, AWS, OpenAI Mentions

Earnings
โดย Benzinga·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Cerebras Systems reports second-quarter earnings after the bell today, its second report as a public company, with analysts expecting a loss of roughly 17 cents per share and the company guiding to core revenue of about 194 million dollars, up 88% from a year ago. On prediction market Kalshi, traders are betting on which words CEO Andrew Feldman and his team will say on the call, with AMD leading at 96%, Disaggregated at 90%, and Helios at 89%, reflecting the July partnership with Advanced Micro Devices that splits AI inference. AWS and OpenAI both trade at 94%, with OpenAI holding a 750-megawatt, multi-billion-dollar inference agreement and AWS set to deploy Cerebras systems in its data centers with revenue expected in 2027. Europe sits at 86% as Cerebras targets 200 megawatts of capacity there by the end of 2027, while CrowdStrike trades at 76% and Falcon at 59% after CrowdStrike said in July it will use Cerebras inference for its Falcon AI Detection and Response product. Kimi is a coin flip at 49% as Cerebras serves Moonshot AI's trillion-parameter Kimi K2.6 model at 981 output tokens per second, and Flex trades at 47% as the manufacturing partner adding production lines in Milpitas, California with plans to increase CS-3 capacity roughly sevenfold through 2026. Customer Concentration trades at just 12%, suggesting traders expect the phrase that dogged the IPO roadshow to go unspoken, while the key investor question is whether the guided core gross margin decline to 36% to 38% from about 47% in the first quarter is temporary as Cerebras relies on costly third-party capacity.

Impact on stocks 5

Artificial Intelligence · 5 stocks
Flex Ltd
FLEX
▲ PositiveSupplyrelevance

Flex is manufacturing partner adding production lines to increase CS-3 capacity.

Theme Impact 4

Off-coverage companies 2

OpenAIPrivate▲ Positive
Demandrelevance

OpenAI holds multi-billion-dollar inference agreement with Cerebras.

Moonshot AI (北京月之暗面科技有限公司)Private▲ Positive
Demandrelevance

Cerebras serves Moonshot AI's Kimi K2.6 model, indicating ongoing demand for its inference services.

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