Thai Airways International Public Company LimitedHigh travel demand and seat capacity constraints support unit revenue; forward bookings declined but actual demand remains strong with high load factors.

CGSI revealed that THAI management maintains a positive outlook on the aviation industry, as passenger travel demand remains high and seat capacity constraints support unit revenue. Although higher jet fuel prices are a short-term negative factor, management believes the impact is manageable and the company will enforce stricter cost controls. In the long term, aircraft deliveries will be a key driver of revenue growth. Management disclosed that forward bookings declined in the second quarter of 2026 due to Middle East conflicts, but actual travel demand remains strong, reflected in persistently high passenger load factors despite fare increases. The company prioritizes yield over load factor and does not employ aggressive price-cutting strategies, but reduced seat capacity below the original plan in May to June 2026 to preserve profitability. Operations are expected to normalize in the third quarter of 2026, supported by strong air freight demand for electronics and the peak tourism season in Europe. THAI plans to expand its fleet to 102 aircraft by the end of 2026, including 28 new aircraft and the retirement of 6 older ones. Available seat kilometers are expected to grow at a single-digit rate this year and at a double-digit rate in 2027 to 2028 as new aircraft enter service, along with increased flight frequencies on European, Indian, and Chinese routes. The new fleet will feature business class suites and premium economy seats, set to enter service in 2027, enhancing service quality, pricing power, and operational efficiency. CGSI maintains a buy recommendation on THAI with a target price of 8 baht, citing lower oil prices and high travel demand as positives, while risks include yield pressure from competition and weaker-than-expected tourism demand.
Thai Airways International Public Company LimitedHigh travel demand and seat capacity constraints support unit revenue; forward bookings declined but actual demand remains strong with high load factors.
CGSI maintains a buy recommendation and target price of 8 baht on THAI, citing lower oil prices and high travel demand.