China Southern Airlines Co Ltd Class AIATA slashes 2026 profit forecast due to Middle East conflict blocking Strait of Hormuz, raising jet fuel prices to $152/barrel, hurting airline margins.
Airports Council International World has released its 2026 World Airport Traffic Dataset, showing that global air passenger numbers reached 9.8 billion in 2025, up 3.7 percent year on year. Chinese airports performed strongly, with Shanghai Pudong International Airport jumping from tenth to fifth place, Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport returning to ninth, Beijing Capital International Airport rising one spot to fifteenth, and Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport climbing from twenty-second to nineteenth. In cargo, global air freight volume exceeded 131 million tonnes in 2025, up 3.3 percent year on year. China accounted for five of the top twenty airports, with Hong Kong International Airport leading at 5.1 million tonnes and Shanghai Pudong International Airport second at 4.1 million tonnes. Meanwhile, the International Air Transport Association has sharply lowered its 2026 global airline profit forecast. Due to the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz amid Middle East conflict and average jet fuel prices rising to 152 dollars per barrel, the industry-wide net profit estimate has been slashed from 45 billion dollars to 23 billion dollars, with the net profit margin falling to 2.0 percent. Air China, China Southern Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines together posted a combined net loss approaching 10 billion yuan in the first half, with the second-quarter loss reaching 12.201 billion to 13.801 billion yuan, compared with a combined first-quarter profit of 4.828 billion yuan.
China Southern Airlines Co Ltd Class AIATA slashes 2026 profit forecast due to Middle East conflict blocking Strait of Hormuz, raising jet fuel prices to $152/barrel, hurting airline margins.
China Eastern Airlines Corp LtdSame supply-side shock from jet fuel price surge due to Strait of Hormuz blockage, worsening losses for China Eastern.
Air China Ltd Class ASame supply-side shock from jet fuel price surge due to Strait of Hormuz blockage, worsening losses for Air China.