Chinese Banks Flock to Government Bonds, Share Surges to 16.4%, Matching Household Loans

Macro
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Chinese banks have significantly increased their investment in government bonds, following sluggish home and consumer loans. The share of government assets in total assets rose to 16.4% in July, up from 11.5% five years ago. Meanwhile, the share of household loans fell to 16.4% from 20.3%, bringing the two categories together for the first time. Analysts at BofA Global Research expect the government share could rise to nearly 20% within five years. Meanwhile, Agricultural Bank of China and ICBC plan to use funds from a 300 billion yuan capital injection program to buy more 30-year bonds, even though the yield on 10-year Chinese government bonds is around 1.68%, only 10 basis points above the record low. Experts warn that relying on bonds may not be sustainable.

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Agricultural Bank of China Ltd Class A
601288
▲ PositiveCapitalrelevance

Agricultural Bank of China plans to use funds from a 300 billion yuan capital injection to buy more 30-year bonds, boosting its government bond holdings.