Deutsche Bank lifts FTSE 100 earnings outlook on stronger energy and resilient growth

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Deutsche Bank has raised its fiscal 2026 earnings growth forecast for the FTSE 100 to 12 percent from 9 percent, citing stronger energy earnings and resilient growth outside the sector. The bank noted that first-half aggregate earnings are expected to increase by 10 percent year-over-year, a strong acceleration from the 4 percent growth rate seen in the second half, with the Energy sector contributing 7 percentage points of that growth. Excluding Energy, consensus expects first-half earnings to rise just 3 percent, but Deutsche Bank is more optimistic, forecasting 5 percent growth and pointing to a global macro environment that has been more resilient than feared. Basic Materials is also expected to lift first-half growth by almost 4 percentage points, while Financials and Staples are seen as the biggest drags. Since the start of the Iran war, fiscal 2026 estimates have been revised up by 7 percent, mostly driven by Energy and Basic Materials, with consensus now expecting FTSE 100 earnings to grow 14 percent this year.

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Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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Deutsche Bank raised its FTSE 100 earnings forecast, reflecting its own analyst work and potentially boosting its investment banking reputation.