ECB holds rate at 2.25% but signals possible September hike as Iran conflict flares

MacroGeopoliticsCommodity Impact 4
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The European Central Bank kept its key deposit rate unchanged at 2.25 percent but opened the door to a rise in September as fresh fighting in the Middle East threatens to send prices higher. ECB President Christine Lagarde said the decision was unanimous, though some governors questioned whether a hike should be considered. Brent crude oil passed $100 a barrel during Lagarde's press conference after Iran-aligned Houthi rebels claimed attacks on Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, and US President Donald Trump later threatened major military punishment. Lagarde called the Houthi attacks alarming but said they came too late to factor into Thursday's decision, while warning that the risks to the inflation outlook are to the upside and that the longer energy prices stay high, the more likely they are to drive up broader inflation.

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