Fed's June inflation forecast shows headline CPI easing but core PCE stuck at 3.3%

Macro Impact 4
โดย The Motley Fool·Read original
Summary · why it matters

The Federal Reserve's latest June inflation forecast presents a mixed picture for Wall Street. The Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcasting tool projects trailing 12-month inflation will modestly decline to 4.01% in June, down from May's three-year high of 4.2%, as crude oil prices ease amid progressing US-Iran peace talks. However, the central bank's preferred inflation gauge, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, is expected to remain flat at 3.3%, signaling that price pressures are spreading beyond energy and food. The quarterly dot plot shows nine of 18 Federal Open Market Committee members anticipate higher interest rates by year-end, raising concerns that a historically expensive stock market may struggle to adapt to a rate-hiking environment.

Impact on stocks 0