Fund Managers Rank AI Bubble as Top Tail Risk for Markets

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โดย beincrypto.com·GLOBAL·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Fund managers now see an artificial intelligence bubble as the biggest tail risk facing global markets, according to Bank of America's July Global Fund Manager Survey. The survey found 45% of respondents naming an AI bubble as the top tail risk, up from 28% the previous month, displacing second-wave inflation from the top spot. Hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure was flagged as the most likely trigger for a credit event, with the five largest hyperscalers expected to deploy more than $1 trillion across 2025 and 2026. The S&P 500's concentration amplifies the risk, as J.P. Morgan Global Research estimates the top 20 stocks account for roughly 50.8% of total market capitalization, meaning buying the index increasingly means buying the AI trade. Goldman Sachs estimates annualized AI-related spending could exceed $800 billion by the end of 2026, while Morgan Stanley projects nearly $3 trillion of AI infrastructure investment by 2028, with over 80% still ahead.

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