Gene Munster Says Microsoft Earnings Don't Matter as AI Battle With Bots Just Beginning

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โดย Benzinga·Read original
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Deepwater Asset Management managing partner Gene Munster says Microsoft's quarterly earnings don't matter because the company's long-term battle with AI bots is just beginning. He warns Microsoft faces two major headwinds over the next five years: a transition from per-seat subscription pricing to usage-based models as AI embeds deeper into enterprise software, and the rise of AI agents that could bypass traditional applications like Excel and Word by communicating directly with software systems. Munster argues that a new business model brings uncertainty and a lower valuation multiple, and that AI could rebuild business processes faster than investors expect, potentially making Microsoft a value trap. Wall Street expects Microsoft to report fourth-quarter revenue of $87.61 billion and EPS of $4.23, up from $76.44 billion and $3.65 a year ago, with the company having beaten revenue estimates for 13 straight quarters and earnings estimates for 15 consecutive quarters. Microsoft shares closed Tuesday at $393.35, up 1.09% for the day, and gained another 0.42% to $395.01 in after-hours trading, though the stock is down 16.83% year to date and 23.26% over the past year.

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