Ghana's Cocoa Output Expected to Drop Over a Third, Boosting Global Prices

Commodity
โดย Money & Banking·GH·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Bloomberg News reports that Ghana's cocoa production, the world's second-largest, could decline by more than a third in the 2026-2027 season due to erratic weather and disease outbreaks, risking a return to a global cocoa market deficit. Wisdom Kofi Dogbey, managing director of Cocoa Marketing Company Ghana Ltd., said output is expected to be between 470,000 and 620,000 tonnes, down from about 760,000 tonnes in the previous season. If it falls to the lower end of that range, it would represent a decline of more than a third and would be below the earlier forecast of 650,000 tonnes. Cocoa farms in Ghana and Ivory Coast are facing heavy rains, increasing the risk of black pod disease, while El Niño could lead to drier conditions. Analysts, including BMI and Hedgepoint Global Markets, have cut their estimates for the global supply surplus, and the CEO of Guan Chong Berhad, Asia's largest cocoa processor, expects the market could swing into deficit. These concerns have supported cocoa futures prices in New York, which have risen for six consecutive months. Meanwhile, Ecuador is ramping up production and could eventually overtake Ghana as the world's second-largest producer.

Impact on stocks 1

Climate Adaptation & Water · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 1

Off-coverage companies 3

Cocoa Marketing Company (Ghana) Ltd.Private▼ Negative
Supplyrelevance

Cocoa Marketing Company Ghana's managing director says Ghana output may drop to 470,000-620,000 tonnes on weather and disease

Guan Chong BerhadPrivate▲ Positive
Supplyrelevance

Guan Chong Berhad's CEO expects the cocoa market could swing into deficit amid falling Ghanaian output

Hedgepoint Global MarketsPrivate± Mixed
relevance

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