Goldman Sachs Panic Index Plunges Three Points as Risks Mount

MacroPrice ActionCommodity Impact 4
โดย GuruFocus·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Goldman Sachs' Panic Index fell three points Friday, its third-largest single-day decline in three years, signaling that investor anxiety has faded sharply even as major risks intensify. The drop left substantially less fear priced into the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq entering the weekend, while the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, remained well below the closely watched 20 level at roughly 16.90. That calm contrasts with a deteriorating macro backdrop: semiconductor and AI stocks are retreating after prominent technology executives called for slowing AI development, crude oil has climbed above $100 per barrel amid Middle East attacks and Saudi pipeline disruptions, and the 10-year Treasury yield reached the key 5% level ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision, which markets largely expect to include a rate increase. Investors had also rebuilt long positions in technology stocks even as market performance remained unusually dispersed. The biggest near-term test is Wednesday's Fed decision, with investors also watching whether the VIX stays below 20, whether the 10-year yield holds above 5%, and whether oil remains above $100.

Impact on stocks 4

Financials▲ · 2 stocks
Goldman Sachs Group Inc
GS
± Mixedrelevance

Goldman Sachs' Panic Index fell three points, but this is a proprietary sentiment gauge, not a company-specific financial or business development.

Others▲ · 2 stocks
％Effective Federal Funds Rate
EFFR
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Markets largely expect Wednesday's Fed decision to include a rate increase, pushing the effective federal funds rate higher.

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