Indian shares seen subdued as Trump rules out Iran talks for now

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Indian shares are expected to open cautiously on Wednesday as investors weigh geopolitical and trade tensions against positive global cues. U.S. President Donald Trump announced a phased tariff plan on imported generic medicines, with zero tariffs until August 2028, then rising to 100 percent and later 200 percent to incentivize U.S. manufacturing. Benchmark indexes Sensex and Nifty fell around 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent respectively on Tuesday, while the rupee rose 21 paise to close at 96.24 against the dollar amid strong foreign exchange inflows. Banks have mobilized over $20.7 billion under the RBI's swap facility since June, with analysts expecting total inflows of $60-70 billion by the window's close. Foreign institutional investors turned net buyers of Indian equities worth Rs 1,650.16 crore on Tuesday, while domestic institutional investors were net sellers of Rs 656.88 crore. Asian markets were broadly higher, driven by a rebound in semiconductor shares after South Korea's semiconductor exports surged 180 percent year-on-year in the first 20 days of July, and Brent crude rose above $92 a barrel as Trump played down near-term talks with Iran and warned of potential strikes on Iran's Pickaxe Mountain near Natanz.

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