July CPI Report Could Split Fed Rate Decision and Rattle Markets

MacroDigital FinanceDigital Finance Impact 4
โดย BeInCrypto·US·Read original
Summary · why it matters

The July consumer price index report lands Wednesday with markets evenly split on whether the Federal Reserve will hold or hike rates in September. CME FedWatch data shows a 50.1% chance of a hold and a 49.9% chance of a hike, a dead heat that has tightened from 58% hike odds a week ago. A Wall Street Journal survey of 15 banks forecasts headline inflation at 0.12% monthly and 3.4% year-over-year, with core inflation at 0.22%. A soft print could lift stocks, bonds, and crypto, while a hot number may revive rate-hike bets and fuel stagflation fears, especially after core inflation on the Fed’s preferred gauge hit 3.3% in June. Bitcoin traded near $64,302 ahead of the release, up 0.8% in 24 hours.

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