Kalshi traders see 70% chance of zero dissents at Fed's June meeting under new chair Warsh

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Prediction market traders on Kalshi place 70% odds on zero dissents at the Federal Reserve's June interest rate decision, the first meeting chaired by new Fed chair Kevin Warsh. That contrasts with April's meeting, the last under former chair Jerome Powell, when four members dissented — the most in over 30 years. Odds of a repeat four dissents are just 3%. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady at 3.50% to 3.75% as it assesses inflation from higher oil prices tied to the U.S.-Iran war. Traders also see a 73% chance Warsh will discuss "uncertainty" at his first press conference, a 43% chance he mentions "quantitative tightening," and only a 20% chance he refers to President Donald Trump by name.

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