KGI recommends buying BEM with a target price of 8.40 baht after expressway toll adjustment

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KGI Securities said the increase in tolls on the Chalong Rat Expressway, also known as the Si Rat - Outer Ring Road Expressway in Bangkok, which is adjusted every five years under the terms of the investment concession contract, takes effect from 15 December 2026. Four-wheel vehicles will pay 80 baht per vehicle, up from 65 baht, and six- to ten-wheel vehicles will pay 130 baht per vehicle, up from 105 baht. This is seen as slightly positive, given traffic volume on the expressway route of about 62,500 vehicles per month, or 5.5% of the 1.1 million vehicles using the expressway each month. The impact is expected to be about 3% of expressway revenue. The tolls will undergo a major contractual adjustment in 2029, rising from 50 baht to 60 baht for the city-bound routes and from 55 baht to 65 baht for Sector C. The years 2028 to 2031 are expected to be a golden era for BEM, driven by the full operation of the Orange Line and Purple Line electric train services and the increase in urban expressway prices. KGI maintains its buy recommendation with a target price of 8.40 baht.

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