Micron Forecast to Out-Earn Microsoft in Fiscal 2027 on Memory Prices

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Micron Technology is projected to earn more profit than Microsoft in fiscal 2027, according to a Motley Fool analysis, as surging memory prices drive the chipmaker's earnings toward record levels. Micron guided to fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 earnings of $30.73 per diluted share, plus or minus $1.00, on a GAAP basis, which works out to about $35 billion of profit in a single quarter on roughly 1.15 billion diluted shares, about four times what the entire prior fiscal year produced. That follows net income of $13.8 billion in the fiscal second quarter of 2026 and $28.2 billion in the fiscal third quarter, with average selling prices for DRAM rising in the low-60% range sequentially while shipment volumes grew only a low-single-digit percentage, lifting gross margin to 84.6% from 37.7% a year earlier. Four quarters at the guided pace would total about $141 billion, but because fiscal 2026 was a 53-week year and the guided quarter has 14 weeks, the pace points to closer to $131 billion over a normal 52-week year, while Microsoft's fiscal 2027 could reach around $154 billion even if profit growth halves to about 15%. Micron would therefore need to average roughly $38 billion to $39 billion of net income per quarter over fiscal 2027, about 10% above the guided quarter, which the analysis says is achievable if memory prices hold near record levels, supported by multi-year take-or-pay agreements that CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said will significantly enhance the durability and predictability of Micron's financial performance. Risks include a memory price pullback, as in fiscal 2023 when a supply glut cut revenue almost in half to $15.5 billion and produced a $5.8 billion net loss, and labor tensions in Taiwan, where unions representing most of Micron's employees there have pushed for a profit-sharing plan and kept strike preparations alive, though no strike has been called and production is unaffected. Micron reports the quarter's actual results on Sept. 30.

Impact on stocks 3

Artificial Intelligence · 2 stocks
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT
± Mixedrelevance

Microsoft is only used as a profit benchmark for comparison; no company-specific development is reported.

Semiconductors · 1 stocks
Micron Technology Inc
MU
▲ PositivePricingrelevance

Surging DRAM memory prices (ASPs up low-60% sequentially) are driving Micron's record profit guidance and projected fiscal 2027 earnings.

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