Morgan Stanley downgrades Global-e to equal-weight, lifts price target to $44

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Summary · why it matters

Morgan Stanley downgraded Global-e Online to equal-weight from overweight while raising its price target to $44 from $37. The bank said the market now better reflects the company's durable growth and competitive position, and further valuation expansion will likely depend on a meaningful ramp in Managed Markets and clearer disclosure around take rates. Morgan Stanley expects second-quarter gross merchandise volume to beat the high end of guidance by 1% to 2%, helped by strength at Alo, merchant promotions, the World Cup, the Champions League and favorable foreign-exchange trends. It also incorporated the Passport acquisition into its estimates, assuming it contributes about $25 million of revenue per quarter in the third and fourth quarters of 2026, and lifted its 2027 and 2028 gross profit and adjusted EBITDA estimates by about 2%. The bank raised its 2026 revenue estimate to $1.32 billion from $1.27 billion and its 2027 forecast to $1.77 billion from $1.64 billion, while expecting 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $286.4 million, up from $281 million previously.

Impact on stocks 2

Consumer Discretionary · 1 stocks
Global-E Online Ltd
GLBE
± MixedCapitalrelevance

Morgan Stanley downgrades to equal-weight but raises price target, reflecting balanced view on valuation and growth.

Financials · 1 stocks

Off-coverage companies 2

Alo YogaPrivate± Mixed
relevance

Passport Global Inc.Private± Mixed
relevance