Morgan Stanley Sees Nvidia Recurring Revenue From AI Infrastructure Financing

Analyst
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Morgan Stanley said Nvidia could develop a new source of recurring revenue through its push to finance AI computing infrastructure, according to a Friday note. The brokerage said Nvidia's plan to support investments in so-called neocloud providers could make computing capacity a more predictable revenue opportunity, with the initiative involving major financial firms including Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR. Morgan Stanley said demand for AI computing appears capable of supporting the expansion, while Nvidia's involvement with cloud operators could broaden its exposure beyond chip sales, and the firm maintained Nvidia as its preferred semiconductor stock. The analysts estimated that the four largest U.S. hyperscalers could deploy about 25 gigawatts of computing capacity in 2027, excluding Tensor Processing Units, and a neocloud market of comparable scale could produce roughly $500 billion in annual revenue at $20 million per megawatt. If Nvidia captured 25% of that revenue at full margins, its fiscal 2028 operating profit could rise 60%, while a smaller two-to-five-gigawatt opportunity could still provide about a 10% lift to earnings per share.

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Artificial Intelligence · 2 stocks
NVIDIA Corporation
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Morgan Stanley sees Nvidia's AI infrastructure financing as a new recurring revenue source, potentially boosting fiscal 2028 operating profit by 60%.

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