USA Rare Earth, Inc.USA Rare Earth jumped over 80% around its January deal announcement but gave up all gains and more, ending at $15.71 versus post-deal highs above $30.
A Yahoo Finance analysis has found that 14 of the 17 public companies that accepted government involvement ended this past week with share prices lower than the day after their deals with the Trump administration were announced. The pattern has been a significant bump around the formal announcement, high volatility afterward, and then gains given back almost as quickly as they came, with USA Rare Earth jumping over 80% in five trading days around its January deal announcement before giving up all those gains and more, ending Monday at $15.71 per share, far below post-deal highs above $30. Returns for 11 of the 17 companies, measured against 10 trading days before the formal announcement, are also lower now, and the negative returns are even more pronounced given that two of the three gainers are Intel and Nippon Steel, which gave the government a golden share with outsized voting rights but not an equity stake, while the third is MP Materials, which secured a deal in July 2025. The administration has taken stakes in more than 30 companies, recently adding its 32nd, a privately held oil driller called North American Blue Energy Partners that obtained 100-year leases on land in Venezuela holding an estimated 65 billion barrels of oil, and the portfolio now spans quantum computing, semiconductors, oil drilling, steel, nuclear energy, and rare earth mineral companies. Cato Institute policy analyst Tad DeHaven, who has studied the government stakes, said it certainly looks like a sugar high, adding that there looks to be a short-term benefit but that in the long term it comes down to fundamentals. The government's stake in Intel has jumped from an estimated $8.9 billion when the deal was struck to more than $50 billion today, with Intel stock closing Monday at $97.19, down over 5% on the day but still more than quadruple its price in August 2025 just before the deal was announced.
USA Rare Earth, Inc.USA Rare Earth jumped over 80% around its January deal announcement but gave up all gains and more, ending at $15.71 versus post-deal highs above $30.
MP Materials CorpMP Materials is one of only three gainers among the 17 government-stake companies, having secured a deal in July 2025.
Nippon Steel is cited as a gainer but gave the government a golden share with outsized voting rights rather than an equity stake.
OK Rusal MKPAO
Intel CorporationGovernment equity stake in Intel has surged in value to over $50B, though the stock closed down Monday at $97.19.