Nebius Group N.V.High valuation and customer concentration offset strong growth and raised guidance

Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) reported 454% revenue growth in Q2 with $37.5 billion in remaining performance obligations, but three customers still account for 59% of revenue, and the stock's forward P/E of 68 embeds near-perfect execution. The company's AI cloud segment generated $574.90 million of the group's $582.30 million in Q2 revenue, and management raised its year-end contracted power target to 5 gigawatts. However, H1 capital expenditures hit $8.13 billion, with 2026 capex guided to $20 billion to $25 billion, keeping dilution risk live. Shares trade at $206.32 against an average analyst target of $286.69, and the stock is up 146.48% year to date versus the S&P 500's 12.48%. The next catalyst is Q3 revenue against the $899 million consensus, and a clean beat with customer broadening would improve the risk/reward profile.
Nebius Group N.V.High valuation and customer concentration offset strong growth and raised guidance
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