Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Lags S&P 500, Drops on Cut Guidance

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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings shares have underperformed the S&P 500 across multiple time frames and tumbled 8.6% on May 4 after the company slashed its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $1.45 to $1.79, citing higher fuel costs and weaker booking trends. The Miami-based cruise operator, with a market cap of $9.2 billion, has seen its stock decline nearly 25% from its 52-week high of $27.18, while posting a 1.3% gain over the past three months compared with the S&P 500's 11.9% rise. On a year-to-date basis, NCLH is down 8.7% versus the index's 7.6% gain, and over the past 52 weeks it has returned 9.6% against the S&P 500's 22.2% increase. The company said Middle East tensions pushed expected annual fuel prices to $782 per metric ton, European cruise demand softened, and execution missteps led to shorter Caribbean itineraries and suboptimal booking ranges, even as first-quarter 2026 EPS of $0.23 beat expectations on revenue of $2.33 billion that missed estimates. Analysts maintain a consensus Moderate Buy rating with a mean price target of $21.09, a 3.4% premium to current levels.

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