Rosenblatt Initiates Sandisk Coverage With Buy Rating and $2,400 Target

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Summary · why it matters

Rosenblatt has initiated coverage of Sandisk with a Buy rating, arguing that AI is transforming NAND flash memory from a commodity into a critical piece of computing infrastructure. Analyst Kevin Cassidy set a $2,400 price target on the shares, saying new AI compute platforms create an opportunity to reposition NAND from a commodity storage medium to a more system-critical component of AI infrastructure as expanding model sizes and data-intensive inference prioritize density, performance, endurance and supply certainty over the lowest price. Cassidy said Sandisk's roadmap, developed with manufacturing partner Kioxia over some 25 years, supports that shift, with its BiCS8 and BiCS10 platforms improving density with fewer 3D layers than some rivals and sustaining a cost and performance advantage in AI-oriented enterprise storage. He pointed to management's fiscal 2028-to-2030 framework calling for mid-to-high-teens revenue growth, roughly 80% non-GAAP gross margin and a 50% adjusted free-cash-flow margin, and said new business model agreements with eight of the largest NAND customers, potentially covering about 65% of fiscal 2028 production, should improve demand visibility and reduce the sector's historical volatility. On that basis, Cassidy conservatively estimated fiscal 2030 non-GAAP earnings of about $300 a share, with his $2,400 target based on 10 times his fiscal 2028 earnings estimate, a multiple he called conservative given the growth outlook while reflecting execution risk and the chance NAND reverts to cyclical, commodity-like pricing.

Impact on assets 2

Semiconductors · 2 stocks
Sandisk Corp
SNDK
▲ PositiveCapitalDemandrelevance

Rosenblatt initiates coverage with a Buy rating and $2,400 price target, citing AI-driven repositioning of NAND and a conservative 10x multiple.

Kioxia Holdings Corporation
285A
± MixedCompetitionrelevance

Mentioned only as Sandisk's 25-year manufacturing partner behind the BiCS8/BiCS10 roadmap, not as a subject of the rating.

Theme Impact 2

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