S&P 500 surges 15% in Q1 2026, history points to 13% gain by July 2027

Price Action
โดย The Motley Fool·Read original
Summary · why it matters

The S&P 500 advanced 15% in the first quarter of 2026, its best quarterly performance since the second quarter of 2020. When the index has gained at least 10% in a quarter since 2011, it has returned an average of 13% over the following 12 months, slightly above its 15-year annual average of 12%. The S&P 500 closed at 7,499 on June 30, and if history repeats, it would reach 8,474 by July 2027. Wall Street analysts are even more bullish, with a consensus target of 8,918 implying 19% upside, driven by expectations of 24% full-year earnings growth for S&P 500 companies after a 28% jump in the first quarter. Technology earnings surged 55% in the quarter, led by Nvidia and Micron Technology, and analysts see particular value in software stocks such as Palantir, Intuit, Autodesk, and Oracle, which rank among the most undervalued in the index based on median target prices.

Impact on stocks 10

Cloud & Digital Infrastructure · 4 stocks
Semiconductors · 3 stocks
Communication Services · 1 stocks
Artificial Intelligence · 1 stocks
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation · 1 stocks