Microsoft CorporationScotiabank lowered price target from $550 to $470, citing AI buildout costs and potential free cash flow below zero.

Scotiabank has lowered its price target on Microsoft to $470 from $550 while maintaining a bullish rating, warning that stronger Azure growth may not offset mounting concern over the cost of the company's AI buildout. Wall Street expects Microsoft to report adjusted earnings of $4.24 per share on revenue of roughly $87.6 billion for its fiscal fourth quarter. Analyst Patrick Colville sees Azure growth of 41% in the June quarter and 42% in the September quarter, above management's prior forecast of 39% to 40% constant-currency growth. However, Colville estimates Microsoft could deploy about $265 billion on capital projects through fiscal 2027, potentially pushing free cash flow below zero and requiring more than $20 billion in new funding. The reaction to the earnings report will likely hinge on cloud growth, infrastructure constraints, and fiscal 2027 spending guidance.
Microsoft CorporationScotiabank lowered price target from $550 to $470, citing AI buildout costs and potential free cash flow below zero.