Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common StockPotential acquisition of Tesla could create synergies and simplify narrative, with high probability implied by prediction market
Prediction market Kalshi places the odds of SpaceX acquiring Tesla before May 1, 2027, at 54%, and SpaceX President Gwynn Shotwell has floated the idea. The two companies already share resources and personnel, with SpaceX buying nearly $700 million in Tesla Megapack energy storage systems in 2024 and 2025 and $131 million in Cybertrucks. A deal could create synergies in solar-powered orbital data centers and robotics, while also simplifying the narrative around both companies' futuristic ambitions. Elon Musk, who holds 85% of SpaceX's voting power and about 20% of Tesla, has a history of related mergers, including SpaceX's acquisition of xAI before its IPO. Without an acquisition, Tesla remains a highly speculative stock due to struggles in its core EV business and uncertain robotaxi and Optimus robot prospects.
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common StockPotential acquisition of Tesla could create synergies and simplify narrative, with high probability implied by prediction market
Tesla IncAcquisition by SpaceX would provide a premium and strategic synergies, reducing standalone risk
Intel CorporationPrediction market odds of 54% drive user engagement and trading volume on Kalshi