Stifel Upgrades Microsoft to Buy, Lifts Price Target to $575

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Stifel upgraded Microsoft to Buy from Hold and raised its price target to $575 from $530, sending the software giant's shares higher in premarket trading Wednesday. Analyst Brad Reback said the firm is increasingly comfortable with Microsoft's ability to sustain mid-to-upper-teens revenue growth, citing an LLM-agnostic strategy across Azure and Copilot, COGS and OPEX efficiencies that support stable operating margins, and strong cash flows that should limit the need for outside financing. The Azure outlook is central to the upgrade: Reback expects cloud revenue growth to accelerate despite limited available computing capacity, helped by incremental operating efficiencies, newly added data-center capacity and a growing revenue contribution from the OpenAI relationship. Stifel also pointed to Microsoft 365, where product improvements should lift Copilot adoption and expanding GitHub consumption could support mid-to-upper-teens growth in the productivity business. The thesis would strengthen if Azure growth accelerates alongside stable operating margins, while persistent capacity shortages or weaker Copilot monetization would make the $575 target harder to support.

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