Tesla IncTesla likely to miss first-half robotaxi deployment targets, and core business is a small piece of valuation.
Wolfe Research says Tesla shares need progress on robotaxi and humanoid robotics to sustain momentum, even as the company is on track for a solid second quarter. Analyst Emmanuel Rosner estimates Tesla will deliver 420,000 units globally in Q2, about 10% above the year-ago period and ahead of the consensus of around 400,000 units. He projects automotive gross margins excluding credits in the low-18% range and earnings per share of approximately $0.50 to $0.52, above the $0.45 consensus. However, the firm cautioned that core businesses represent only a small piece of Tesla's valuation, with the bigger part tied to confidence in longer-term initiatives where ramp curves are shallower than previously expected, most notably in robotaxi, and Tesla is likely to miss its first-half deployment targets. Rosner also flagged intensifying competition from Waymo's planned expansion into 20 cities this year, Mobileye's deployment of 100 robotaxis by 2027, and accelerating humanoid production from Figure AI and Boston Dynamics.
Tesla IncTesla likely to miss first-half robotaxi deployment targets, and core business is a small piece of valuation.
Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common StockMobileye plans to deploy 100 robotaxis by 2027, competing with Tesla's robotaxi efforts.
Alphabet Inc Class CWaymo, owned by Alphabet, is expanding to 20 cities, intensifying competition against Tesla's robotaxi plans.