Tesla IncQ2 earnings missed, operating income and free cash flow deteriorated, capex guided above $25B with new borrowing.

Tesla is rated a Sell at $354.08, with the market pricing the hardware maker as an AI company at 369 times earnings while cash flow deteriorates. The company's Q2 revenue rose 25.5% to $28.24 billion, beating consensus by 7.10%, but GAAP EPS of $0.33 missed estimates by 38.51%, operating income fell 56.88% to $398 million, and free cash flow turned negative at $1.09 billion as capex more than doubled to $5.79 billion. Management guided capex above $25 billion for 2026, backed by a new $30 billion borrowing facility, while prediction markets put only a 3.1% chance of an Optimus release by year end. Shares are down 21.27% year to date, and the average analyst price target of $390.09 implies about 10% upside, though the stock has underperformed the S&P 500 since the July 22 earnings release.
Tesla IncQ2 earnings missed, operating income and free cash flow deteriorated, capex guided above $25B with new borrowing.