Tisco keeps Buy on CATL01 with 7.65 baht target, 60% upside

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โดย Kaohoon·HKTH·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Tisco Securities released an analysis on September 16, 2026, maintaining a Buy recommendation for 3750 HK, the stock of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, or CATL, with a target price of 810 Hong Kong dollars per share. The depositary receipt referencing that stock and listed in Thailand under the name CATL01 carries a target price of 7.65 baht per share, implying 60.0% upside from 4.78 baht per share. The research team said that although the market is worried about CATL's declining market share, its US sales, and the issue of excess battery capacity, the firm views these factors as an investment opportunity. CATL's market share in August 2026 fell for a fourth consecutive month to 41.5%, down from 49.8% at the start of the year, while rival BYD raised its market share to 21.0%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points since the start of the year. The research team remains unconcerned about the excess capacity issue, even though China's monthly battery capacity in August 2026 stood at 237 GWh, up 69.8% from the same period a year earlier, because domestic Chinese battery demand, covering both the electric vehicle market and energy storage systems, was 223.1 GWh, up 65.9%, and that figure does not yet include demand from overseas markets. The target price valuation is based on a forward P/E assumption of 26.4 times and estimated 2027 earnings per share of 30.63 Hong Kong dollars per share. The 3750 HK stock price is 495.4 Hong Kong dollars, while CATL01 is at 4.78 baht. The research team noted that the prices of the underlying stock and the DR may be affected by exchange rate movements.

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