Verisk Reports Record $171 Billion Global Insured Catastrophe Loss Benchmark

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Verisk's catastrophe modelling unit has released its 2026 Global Modelled Catastrophe Losses Report, calculating that the insurance industry should be prepared to withstand $171 billion in insured catastrophe losses on average in a given year, up $19 billion from a year ago and the highest estimate Verisk has reported to date. The benchmark rose even after a year with no U.S. hurricane landfalls for the first time in a decade, reflecting continued growth in property values and insured values worldwide. Severe thunderstorm accounts for 40 percent of modelled insured catastrophe risk, more than any other peril, ahead of tropical cyclone at 27 percent, earthquake at 10 percent, winter storm at 9 percent, flood at 7 percent, and wildfire at 6 percent. At the 100-year return period, modelled aggregate insured losses reach $477 billion, and at the 250-year return period, they reach $606 billion. The report also highlights a persistent protection gap, noting that globally only about 38 percent of economic losses from natural catastrophes are insured, while in Europe, only about $24 billion of the region's $110 billion in expected annual economic catastrophe losses is insured, or 22 percent.

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Verisk's catastrophe modelling unit releases a record $171 billion insured loss benchmark, highlighting its key role and potential demand for its services.

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Verisk Raises Global Insured Catastrophe Loss Estimate to $171 Billion

Verisk's catastrophe modeling unit has released its 2026 Global Modeled Catastrophe Losses Report, calculating that the insurance industry should prepare for $171 billion in average annual insured catastrophe losses, up $19 billion from a year ago and the highest estimate Verisk has reported to date. The benchmark rose even after a year with no U.S. hurricane landfalls for the first time in a decade, driven by exposure growth, rising reconstruction costs, and continued development in catastrophe-prone areas. Of the $171 billion global insured average annual loss, $117 billion, or 68 percent, is attributed to the United States, with severe thunderstorm accounting for 40 percent of modeled risk, ahead of tropical cyclone at 27 percent, earthquake at 10 percent, winter storm at 9 percent, flood at 7 percent, and wildfire at 6 percent. The report also notes that a severe catastrophe year could generate losses nearly three times higher than the global AAL, with modeled aggregate insured losses reaching $477 billion at the 100-year return period and $606 billion at the 250-year return period. Since Verisk first published this report in 2012, the estimated global insured AAL has nearly tripled, rising from $59 billion to $171 billion, reflecting expanded model coverage and growth in insured exposure.
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