Vistra Corp.PJM's proposed rules to cap electricity capacity prices negatively impact Vistra's revenue.

Vistra's stock has fallen 30% from its all-time high of $217.02 reached in September 2025, now trading around $150. The decline followed PJM Interconnection's proposed rules to cap electricity capacity prices and Vistra's decision to shut down a major portion of its Moss Landing battery storage facility after a series of fires. Despite these headwinds, the company remains locked into major data center deals with Meta and Amazon, and analysts expect revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at compound annual growth rates of 15% and 16%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028. With an enterprise value of $70.7 billion, Vistra trades at three times this year's revenue and ten times adjusted EBITDA, suggesting it has shed its AI premium. The company has also bought back 30% of its shares over the past five years and maintains a low payout ratio of 15%, leaving room for future dividend increases.
Vistra Corp.PJM's proposed rules to cap electricity capacity prices negatively impact Vistra's revenue.
Amazon.com Inc
Meta Platforms Inc.