Stars Microelectronics (Thailand) PCLYuanta maintains Buy with 7.60 baht fair value, forecasting 2026 profit turnaround to 150M baht and 70% growth to 256M baht in 2027.

Yuanta Securities issued an analysis stating that SMT is clearly entering a turnaround phase, with second-quarter 2026 results recovering across revenue, capacity utilisation and margins. The company expects third-quarter to fourth-quarter 2026 results to improve significantly versus the prior quarter, supported by advance orders covering production for the next 8 to 12 months. The company guided 2026 revenue of not less than 2.6 billion baht and expects growth of more than 10% in 2027, or above the 3 billion baht level. The Optical and OSAT businesses are new growth engines that benefit directly from AI, with AI-related revenue still accounting for less than 5% of current revenue after starting production for 2 to 3 customers in the second half of 2026, with the opportunity to rise to at least 10% next year. On capacity expansion, capex may need to increase from the normal level of about 100 million baht per year to 450 to 500 million baht per year if it is to support revenue growth of more than 10% per year. The analyst maintained a 2026 normal profit forecast of 150 million baht, a turnaround from a loss of 146 million baht in 2025, rising to 256 million baht, or 70% year-on-year growth, in 2027, while maintaining a fair value of 7.60 baht per share at end-2027 based on a PER of 25 times and keeping a Buy recommendation. The stock currently trades at about 19 times 2027 PER, significantly below the sector's 28 to 58 times. The key risk is high dependence on a major customer.
Stars Microelectronics (Thailand) PCLYuanta maintains Buy with 7.60 baht fair value, forecasting 2026 profit turnaround to 150M baht and 70% growth to 256M baht in 2027.