AeroVironment IncMultiple analysts cut price targets and fair value estimate lowered 19% due to program risks, slower award timing, and SCAR program loss.

AeroVironment's fair value estimate has been lowered from US$311.47 to US$251.93, a reduction of roughly 19%, as multiple analysts cut their price targets citing slower award timing, the SCAR program loss, and pressures in space and directed energy. Jefferies reduced its target to US$229 from US$305, BTIG to US$205 from US$330, Stifel to US$220 from US$315, KeyBanc to US$220 from US$295, and Clear Street to US$247 from US$293, while UBS set a US$166 target. The revisions reflect concerns over near-term variability tied to the Satellite Control Antenna Replacement program and a bumpy investment path, even as firms acknowledge strong Q4 results and a new US$500 million Titan counter-UAS contract that supports FY27 revenue visibility. The fair value reset incorporates a revenue growth assumption cut from 20.52% to 13.38%, a net profit margin reduction from 7.30% to 4.48%, a future P/E multiple increase from 113.27x to 131.06x, and a discount rate hike from 7.66% to 8.20%.
AeroVironment IncMultiple analysts cut price targets and fair value estimate lowered 19% due to program risks, slower award timing, and SCAR program loss.