MicroStrategy IncorporatedAnalyst model projects 96.7% upside to $254.93 base case for Strategy if Bitcoin reclaims $120,000, with consensus target $226.20.

Strategy, the company formerly known as MicroStrategy, could see its shares reach $400 if Bitcoin reclaims $120,000, according to a 24/7 Wall St. model that projects 96.7% upside to a base-case target of $254.93. The stock trades at $129.60, down 14.71% year to date and 60.46% over one year, with a beta of 3.597, after Bitcoin closed at $75,584 on September 15. The company holds 846,000 BTC at an average cost near $76,000, and CEO Phong Le said it grew bitcoin holdings by 11% while reducing convertible debt by 18% to $6.7 billion. Wall Street's consensus price target is $226.20 across 2 strong buys, 12 buys, and 1 hold, while the model's bull scenario reaches $391.94. The thesis hinges on Bitcoin holding above $120,000, a favorable resolution to MSCI delisting risk that Polymarket traders price at 78%, and continued growth in Bitcoin-per-share, which management grew 5% in the second quarter.
MicroStrategy IncorporatedAnalyst model projects 96.7% upside to $254.93 base case for Strategy if Bitcoin reclaims $120,000, with consensus target $226.20.