ASPS Recommends CPALL, DOHOME, THAI as Beneficiaries of Weaker Oil, Along with Foreign DR Speculative Strategies

AnalystMacroCommodity
โดย Kaohoon·TH·Read original
Summary · why it matters

Asia Plus Securities recommends CPALL, DOHOME, and THAI as standout stocks benefiting from the decline in Brent crude oil prices below 80 US dollars per barrel, following hopes for a temporary agreement in the Strait of Hormuz. This has led the market to reduce the probability of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates to 4.0 percent, down to 53 percent from 67 percent previously, while US Treasury yields have fallen by more than 1 percent, supporting US stock indices to gain between 1.7 and 2.6 percent and sending continued positive momentum to Asian equity markets, with South Korea surging 3.7 percent and Japan up 3.1 percent. The research team also advises closely monitoring US economic data this week, as well as the direction of the yen, which could experience a short squeeze if the Bank of Japan intervenes in the market. In the technology sector, the US Federal Communications Commission is preparing to ban imports of new optical transceivers from China within this year, which is negative for Chinese manufacturers such as DR: ZJINNO80 but positive for US producers, recommending short-term speculation in DR: COHR23 and DR: LITE80. Meanwhile, SanDisk and SK Hynix have jointly launched HBF memory chips to address bottlenecks in AI inference workloads, with the market forecasting that SanDisk's revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 will grow 354 percent and earnings per share will surge as much as 11,751 percent compared to the same period last year, thus recommending speculation through DR: SNDK03. On the domestic economic front, the market expects July 2026 inflation to expand by 2.55 percent, while the research team assesses that second-half inflation will move within a range of 2.65 to 2.85 percent, consistent with the Bank of Thailand's target framework, making it highly likely that the central bank will maintain the policy rate at 1.0 percent through year-end. Regarding the Thai stock market, although regional markets have advanced, the SET Index may rise less due to the heavy weighting of commodity stocks at 25.1 percent of total market capitalization, and there is potential for profit-taking as the index tests resistance at 1,350 points. Foreign capital flows are beginning to show signs of slowing and switching to net selling, causing a rotation into stocks primarily reliant on domestic economic activity. The investment strategy therefore recommends CPALL, which benefits from increased domestic purchasing power amid falling oil prices, DOHOME, whose second-quarter 2026 earnings are expected to grow strongly from higher gross margins, and THAI, which gains from lower jet fuel costs and whose share price still lags the tourism sector. The research team also provides additional advice for international portfolio allocation, suggesting speculation in DR: ZIJIN80 and DR: COHR23.

Impact on stocks 6

Artificial Intelligence · 1 stocks
SK Hynix Inc
000660
▲ PositiveTechnologyrelevance

SK Hynix jointly launched HBF memory chips with SanDisk to address AI inference bottlenecks, positioning it in a high-growth segment.

Semiconductors · 1 stocks
Sandisk Corp
SNDK
▲ PositiveTechnologyrelevance

SanDisk and SK Hynix jointly launched HBF memory chips to address AI inference bottlenecks, with massive projected revenue and EPS growth.

Digital Finance & Tokenization · 1 stocks
CP ALL Public Company Limited
CPALL
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

ASPS recommends CPALL as a beneficiary of weaker oil prices, which likely boosts consumer spending and demand for its products.

Consumer Discretionary · 1 stocks
Dohome Public Company Limited
DOHOME
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

ASPS recommends DOHOME as a beneficiary of weaker oil prices, potentially increasing consumer spending on home improvement.

Aerospace & Aviation · 1 stocks
Others · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 1

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