Banpu Public Company LimitedHigher coal sales volumes and elevated prices, plus U.S. gas demand from AI/data centers, drive expected Q3 profit growth.

Brokers expect BANPU to post continued profit growth in Q3/2026, driven by higher coal sales and prices remaining at elevated levels, with a "Buy" recommendation and a target price of 17 baht. Analysts at Asia Plus Securities noted that pro forma financials after the merger for Q2/2026 showed net profit up 63% quarter-on-quarter to 1.7 billion baht, while the first half of 2026 still recorded a normal loss of 636 million baht, but improved from a loss of 1.8 billion baht in the same period last year. The research house maintains its 2026 normal profit forecast at 3.5 billion baht, up 341.8%, supported by higher energy prices due to the war and the integrated natural gas business in the U.S., which benefits from increased gas and electricity demand driven by AI and data center growth. For Q3/2026, normal profit is expected to grow further, supported by higher coal sales volumes after Indonesian mines pass the rainy season and average selling prices staying at high levels, while the U.S. gas business also gains from seasonal demand, although the power business may decline from the recent peak. The fundamental value at end-2027 is 17 baht, with an interim dividend of 0.4 baht per share, representing a yield of 2.8%.
Banpu Public Company LimitedHigher coal sales volumes and elevated prices, plus U.S. gas demand from AI/data centers, drive expected Q3 profit growth.