B.Grimm Power Public Company LimitedNatural gas costs rising 25% due to war impact, squeezing core profit.

Asia Plus Securities estimates BGRIM's net profit in the second quarter of 2026 will decline 6.1 percent from the previous quarter to 676.9 million baht, with the main pressure coming from core profit expected to drop 5.4 percent quarter-on-quarter to 480.1 million baht. This is due to natural gas costs rising 25 percent from the prior quarter to around 365 baht per million BTU, driven by the impact of war. Although the average fuel tariff increased by 4.34 satang to 14.06 satang per unit and overall electricity sales volume is expected to improve from higher demand during the summer, it was not enough to fully offset the cost increase. Additionally, share of profit from associates is expected to fall 30.7 percent from the previous quarter to 100 million baht, due to higher foreign exchange losses recognized from overseas projects. The research team has cut its full-year 2026 core profit forecast by 11.6 percent to 1.9 billion baht, reflecting a delay in revenue recognition for the Nakwol 1 wind power project to 90 days from the original 180 days. Core profit in the third quarter of 2026 is expected to remain weak due to higher gas costs and potentially lower electricity sales after the summer season. The stock price has surged 43 percent over the past two months, leaving limited upside. The team recommends reducing investment weight to trading and waiting to gradually accumulate on price corrections, with a 2027 target price of 22 baht per share.
B.Grimm Power Public Company LimitedNatural gas costs rising 25% due to war impact, squeezing core profit.