Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Hits Six-Year High: Bitwise Analysis

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โดย CoinPost·US·Read original
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In a report dated September 2, U.S. crypto asset manager Bitwise announced that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen to its highest level in about six years, since 2020. André Dragosch, the firm's head of European research, noted that investors are no longer distinguishing between Bitcoin and gold during periods of heightened macro concerns, and Bitcoin is beginning to show price movements that amplify gold's moves. The 90-day moving average correlation between Bitcoin and gold has risen above 0.5, the level typically considered "correlated," reaching levels not seen since 2020. Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 index has fallen to a one-year low. In August, as U.S. debt surpassed $40 trillion, the 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest level in about 19 years. In response, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that the size of each long-term Treasury purchase would be expanded from $2 billion to over $4 billion, with implementation starting September 9. Following this announcement, Bitcoin rose 22.4% in one week, gold gained about 5%, while stock markets fell. In an August 27 note, Grayscale's Zach Pandl analyzed that the 90-day correlation between Bitcoin and gold had risen from near zero in early 2026 to over 50%, indicating a resurgence of "debasement trades" as a hedge against currency devaluation. Ki Young Ju, CEO of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, also pointed out that the 90-day correlation had recovered from around -0.9 in early 2026 to over +0.6, calling this phase the "digital gold era." On the other hand, Glassnode noted that while the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 approached zero during the August rally, similar temporary declines in correlation have occurred during past Treasury sell-offs, and it is premature to conclude this signals a regime shift. Some also argue that rolling correlations are backward-looking indicators and can vary significantly depending on the calculation period, so even if multiple research firms agree on the rise in correlation, it is not evidence of a permanent change in positioning. Whether this correlation persists after the expansion of U.S. Treasury purchases beginning September 9 will be a key focus going forward.

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Bitwise Asset ManagementPrivate± Mixed
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Bitwise is the author of the correlation report, but the article reports no company-specific financial or business impact on it.

Grayscale InvestmentsPrivate± Mixed
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Grayscale's Zach Pandl is quoted analyzing the Bitcoin-gold correlation and debasement trades, with no direct impact on Grayscale itself.

CryptoQuantPrivate± Mixed
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CryptoQuant's CEO is cited only as a commentator noting the Bitcoin-gold correlation recovery, not as a subject of the news.

GlassnodePrivate± Mixed
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