Cboe Global Markets IncStock plunged on competitive fears from Kalshi's CFTC-approved perpetual futures and Schwab's binary options product.
Cboe Global Markets shares have plunged from $370 to around $250 over the past month as Wall Street repriced the stock on competitive fears, even though the company posted one of its best quarters ever. The world's largest options exchange reported first-quarter adjusted earnings of $3.70 per share, beating estimates by 9%, on net revenue of $729 million versus a $688 million consensus, with operating margins expanding to 72.4% from 66.0% a year ago. Management raised full-year organic revenue growth guidance to low double-digit to mid-teens and cut operating expense guidance to $838-853 million, while announcing a strategic realignment that will reduce the workforce by 20%. Analysts have revised current-year EPS estimates up nine times in the past 60 days with no downgrades, pushing the full-year consensus from $12.44 to $13.34, yet the stock was driven down by concerns over CFTC approval of perpetual futures for Kalshi and Schwab's plans for a binary options product. Cboe pushed back, noting its SPX options ecosystem took decades to build and cannot be replicated overnight, and it is moving into event markets itself with securities-based XSP event contracts in the pipeline.
Cboe Global Markets IncStock plunged on competitive fears from Kalshi's CFTC-approved perpetual futures and Schwab's binary options product.
Charles Schwab CorpSchwab's plans for a binary options product are mentioned as a competitive threat to Cboe, but Schwab itself is not directly impacted by the news.
Kalshi's CFTC approval for perpetual futures is cited as a competitive threat to Cboe, but Kalshi itself is not discussed further.