CGSI recommends buy on TOP, raises target to 70 baht, lifts 2026 profit forecast by up to 31.4%

Analyst
โดย Thunhoon·Read original
Summary · why it matters

CGS International Securities Thailand maintains a buy recommendation on Thai Oil Public Company Limited, raising its target price to 70 baht from 59.50 baht, after lifting its 2026 earnings per share forecast by 31.4 percent. It assesses that strong market refining margins will offset higher crude oil costs. The new target price still offers 8.9 percent upside from the current price. Supporting factors include Asia crack spreads staying elevated, as more Russian refineries halt operations and China's refined oil product exports remain low, tightening supply. CGSI has raised its market refining margin assumption to 13.4 US dollars per barrel in 2026, and expects TOP to post revenue of 487.94 billion baht, EBITDA of 50.12 billion baht, and net profit of 30.63 billion baht in 2026.

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