Copper supply tightness solidifies as LME inventories fall for 42 consecutive trading days

Commodity
โดย 每日经济新闻·GLOBAL·Read original
Summary · why it matters

The copper supply tightness continues to solidify, with LME inventories falling for 42 consecutive trading days and spot premiums breaking above 400 dollars per tonne. On the supply side, the export ban in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Chile's output hitting a near 20-year low for the same period, global miners collectively lowering production guidance, and a consensus on production cuts amid deeply negative domestic treatment and refining charges are all reinforcing the global supply squeeze. On the inventory side, deliverable supply outside the United States remains tight. The market expects the global refined copper supply deficit could reach 420,000 tonnes in 2026. Long mine expansion cycles and high capital investment, combined with sustained electrification demand, mean supply response is slower than demand growth, pushing the copper price center higher. On August 19, China's A-share major indices fell across the board, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 2.45 percent, the Shenzhen Component Index down 4.88 percent, and the ChiNext Index down 6.09 percent. The CSI Nonferrous Metals Industry Theme Index, tracked by the ChinaAMC Nonferrous Metals ETF with code 516650, fell 3.16 percent.

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