Cummins Sees Truck Demand Rebound, Data-Center Orders Stretching to 2028

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Cummins executives said North American truck demand is recovering and data-center power demand remains exceptionally strong, with orders for its QSK95 generator now stretching into the second half of 2028. Speaking at Morgan Stanley's Laguna Conference, James Hopkins, Cummins' vice president of financial planning, capital management and investor relations, said the truck market has improved over the last six months on stronger fleet profitability and greater clarity around 2027 emissions rules, and that the higher 2027 cost structure supports continued demand into the second half of 2026. Hopkins said the Environmental Protection Agency's semi-final rule gives the industry flexibility in 2027, letting manufacturers sell historical powertrains with a non-conforming penalty or offer new powertrains meeting the 35 mg/bhp-hr NOx requirement, though end-user costs are expected to rise either way. Nick Arens, Cummins' executive director of investor relations, said supply constraints on the larger engine are pushing customers to smaller 78-liter, 60-liter and 50-liter options, and he reaffirmed confidence in the company's target of more than $9 billion of data-center-related exposure by 2030, largely supported by diesel standby demand. Cummins expects 55 gigawatts of high-horsepower engine capacity by 2030, plans limited prototype production of its 130-liter natural-gas prime-power product in the second half of 2028 ahead of a ramp in 2029 and 2030, and said a battery energy storage system application for data centers should contribute revenue in the low hundreds of millions of dollars over the next several years while diluting overall margins.

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North American truck demand recovering and data-center power orders for QSK95 stretching into 2H 2028, with >$9B data-center exposure target by 2030.

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