DRC Export Ban Sparks Nonferrous Metals Rally, Analysts See Limited Lasting Impact

CommodityGeopolitics
โดย 第一财经·CDCN·Read original
Summary · why it matters

The Democratic Republic of Congo's export ban has ignited a rally in China's nonferrous metals sector, with cobalt and copper stocks surging across the board. On August 7, Hanrui Cobalt jumped 8.53%, Tengyuan Cobalt rose 5.86%, and Huayou Cobalt gained 6.30%; Jiangxi Copper climbed 7.20%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals advanced 5.94%. The move follows the DRC government's order to ban exports of copper and cobalt concentrates, aiming to promote domestic downstream processing. Institutions broadly view this as more of a sentiment shock than a fundamental one. Funeng Futures noted the ban is a reiteration and tightening of existing controls, while Fubao Nonferrous Metals' copper analysis team pointed out that most copper concentrates are already refined domestically, with limited actual export volumes. Listed companies including Zijin Mining, CMOC Group, Huayou Cobalt, and Hanrui Cobalt all responded that the ban has limited impact on their operations, as their products are mostly blister copper, cathode copper, or cobalt hydroxide, not concentrates. Meanwhile, copper market supply disruptions remain frequent. LME copper inventories fell 24.11% month-on-month in July, while COMEX copper stocks continued to hit record highs. Goldman Sachs expects the copper supply deficit outside the US to surge from 60,000 tonnes to 640,000 tonnes, and Citigroup forecasts London copper could challenge 15,000 dollars per tonne in the next six to twelve months.

Impact on stocks 7

Others · 7 stocks

Theme Impact 2

Related news

American Battery Technology Posts First Adjusted Gross Profit as Federal Black Mass Export Ban Looms

American Battery Technology Company reported its first-ever adjusted gross profit on its fiscal year 2026 earnings call on September 14, even as CEO Ryan Melsert disclosed a federal directive that effectively bans exports of black mass unless the company obtains a specific exception. Revenue at its flagship recycling facility jumped more than 400% year over year to $21.7 million, while cost of goods sold rose only 67% and operating cash spend fell 16%, pushing adjusted gross profit to $1.7 million from a $6.2 million loss a year earlier. Cash climbed to $49.5 million as of June 30, 2026, total assets reached $133 million, and the company erased all long-term debt. A second recycling facility planned for the Southeast U.S., designed to process 100,000 tons of batteries a year, is backed by a $150 million Department of Energy grant, and a separate $10 million DOE grant funds three next-generation recycling technologies; the Bureau of Land Management also certified the plan of operations for the Tonopah lithium project in Nevada, which holds 21.3 million tons of lithium hydroxide including 2.7 million tons of proven and probable reserves. American Battery Technology has submitted a request for the black mass export exception but had received no formal response from the Department of Commerce as of the call, and short interest sits at 16.38% of the float against a forward P/E of 37.74 as of September 16.
Insider Monkey·3dRead more →

Power One Resources Wins Drill Permit for 1,500-Metre Pecors Deep Test

Power One Resources Corp. said it has received the exploration permit needed to advance diamond drilling at its 100%-owned Pecors Project, located approximately 14 kilometres east of Elliot Lake, Ontario. The permit allows mechanized diamond drilling from two approved drill pad locations, giving the company flexibility to conduct additional drilling from those sites as geological information and exploration results warrant. Power One's immediate priority is a single vertical diamond drill hole approximately 1,500 metres deep, designed to test the deep-seated Zd1 geophysical anomaly identified through three-dimensional inversion modelling of historical ZTEM resistivity data. The Pecors magnetic anomaly is a large regional magnetic high measuring approximately 12 kilometres long by 4 kilometres wide, most of which is concealed beneath thick sequences of Huronian sedimentary rocks. Historical 2015 drilling intersected gabbroic rocks and returned 0.351 g/t PGE, 1,053 ppm copper and 395 ppm nickel over 12.0 metres beginning at 917.5 metres downhole in hole P-15-22, but subsequent geophysical work identified deeper targets that those holes did not adequately test. CEO and Director Wazir Khan said receiving the drill permit moves Pecors into the next stage of exploration, adding that the immediate objective is to drill approximately 1,500 metres and directly test the Zd1 target at depth.
GlobeNewswire·3dRead more →

SMS Equipment and Komatsu Selected for Canada Nickel's Crawford Project Fleet

SMS Equipment Inc. and Komatsu have been selected to supply the load, haul and mining support fleet equipment and associated autonomous technology for Canada Nickel Company's Crawford Nickel Project in northern Ontario. Crawford is the first mine to receive Impact Assessment Agency of Canada approval through the new Major Projects Office, and it is the world's second largest nickel resource and reserve, located approximately 40 kilometres north of Timmins, Ontario. SMS Equipment, the world's largest independent Komatsu dealer, has been working with Canada Nickel on an equipment strategy covering both conventional and autonomous operations, and its recent expansion in Timmins supports major mining projects in the region. SMS Equipment President and CEO Robin Heard said the partnership advances Canada Nickel's vision for safe, sustainable and low-carbon nickel production, while Canada Nickel CEO Mark Selby said SMS Equipment's experience implementing these technologies at other Canadian operations can substantially de-risk the project's start-up and ongoing operation. Komatsu North America CEO Rod Bull said the company looks forward to bringing its advanced mining equipment and technologies to support safe, efficient and productive operations at Crawford.
Cision·3dRead more →